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Will OpenAI publicly file its IPO registration statement with the SEC by June 30, 2027?

Answer in 248 days

How this resolves: Resolves Yes if a Form S-1 (or equivalent registration statement for an initial public offering) for OpenAI or an OpenAI entity becomes publicly visible on SEC EDGAR on or before June 30, 2027.

Closes May 31, 2027, 15:00 UTC (12:00 BRT)

Why it matters

OpenAI said in June 2026 that it had submitted a confidential draft S-1, adding that timing could be a while. Its CEO has since said the company will not go public this year.

Question provenance

How this question entered the record and how it will be resolved.

Resolution criteria
Resolves Yes if a Form S-1 (or equivalent registration statement for an initial public offering) for OpenAI or an OpenAI entity becomes publicly visible on SEC EDGAR on or before June 30, 2027. Resolves No otherwise. Confidential submissions that remain non-public do not count.
Expected resolution
Jun 30, 2027

Key evidence

  • OpenAI, June 8, 2026: confidential draft S-1 submitted, timing not decided
  • TechTarget and Proactive Investors, October 2026: OpenAI postponed IPO plans for 2026

Skeptical perspective

OpenAI has said some of its plans are easier as a private company, and it is still raising private money at a high valuation. A public filing is not needed to keep its options open.

What could change the outlook

  • How Anthropic's listing trades
  • New private funding rounds
  • AI safety and regulatory news
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How does this question resolve?

Resolves Yes if a Form S-1 (or equivalent registration statement for an initial public offering) for OpenAI or an OpenAI entity becomes publicly visible on SEC EDGAR on or before June 30, 2027. Resolves No otherwise. Confidential submissions that remain non-public do not count.

When does this question close?

It closes to new calls on May 31, 2027.