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Will Anthropic shares begin trading on a US stock exchange by December 31, 2026?

Answer in 67 days

How this resolves: Resolves Yes if shares of Anthropic PBC (or a holding company created for its listing) begin regular trading on the Nasdaq or the New York Stock Exchange on or before December 31, 2026, as shown by the exchange or an effective registration statement on SEC EDGAR.

Closes Nov 9, 2026, 15:00 UTC (12:00 BRT)

Why it matters

Anthropic filed confidentially for an IPO earlier this year and met prospective investors on October 14 to share third quarter numbers. Reuters reports a listing is planned for November, though no date has been confirmed.

Question provenance

How this question entered the record and how it will be resolved.

Resolution criteria
Resolves Yes if shares of Anthropic PBC (or a holding company created for its listing) begin regular trading on the Nasdaq or the New York Stock Exchange on or before December 31, 2026, as shown by the exchange or an effective registration statement on SEC EDGAR. Resolves No otherwise. Private secondary trading does not count.
Expected resolution
Dec 31, 2026

Key evidence

  • CNBC, October 13, 2026: Anthropic filed confidentially and will disclose Q3 financials to investors; Reuters says it will list in November
  • Bloomberg, October 1, 2026: listing targeted as soon as mid November
  • Anthropic's prospectus has not yet been made public

Skeptical perspective

Rising interest rates have rattled AI stocks, and other companies have delayed listings this autumn. OpenAI postponed its own IPO, and a large offering can slip by weeks for reasons outside the company's control.

What could change the outlook

  • A public S-1 filing on EDGAR
  • Market conditions for AI stocks
  • Rate decisions in late October and December
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How does this question resolve?

Resolves Yes if shares of Anthropic PBC (or a holding company created for its listing) begin regular trading on the Nasdaq or the New York Stock Exchange on or before December 31, 2026, as shown by the exchange or an effective registration statement on SEC EDGAR. Resolves No otherwise. Private secondary trading does not count.

When does this question close?

It closes to new calls on November 9, 2026.